Decodability is Not Causality: Dissociating Probe Readouts from Behavioral Drivers via SAE Decomposition
Linear probes can decode safety-relevant concepts such as truthfulness from language-model activations, but probe accuracy may show only…
Why am I seeing this Ranked on source trust — arXiv
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The classifier could not identify the subject from the text, so the section was inherited from the source feed. We do not summarise what we cannot identify — this one links straight out.
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| Factor | Weight | Score | Contribution | Where it came from |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corroboration | 0.35 | 0.39 | +0.135 34% | 1 independent org on the story. Tier-3 aggregators never corroborate — they can show something is circulating, never that it is true. |
| Source trustleads | 0.25 | 0.85 | +0.212 53% | arXiv is the highest-trust source on this story and is first-party — the organisation announcing its own news. Trust is taken from the best source, not averaged. |
| Pickup rate | 0.20 | 0.00 | +0.000 0% | One counted organisation, so there is no spread to measure — nothing has picked this up to set a rate. |
| Freshness | 0.20 | 0.27 | +0.054 14% | Halves every 10 hours from the newest item on the story. This is the only factor that rewards a story for nothing more than being recent. |
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What happened
Linear probes can decode safety-relevant concepts such as truthfulness from language-model activations, but probe accuracy may show only decodability, not that the features the probe weights causally drive model behavior. We demonstrate that this gap cannot be closed from the geometry of probe weights alone: the features geometrically aligned with probe direction need not be the ones the model uses, so causal relevance requires intervention.
How this story arrived
Ordered by when each source was first observed, which is what the velocity figure is computed from. Publishers backdate; observed order does not.
- 01 Arxivfirst-party first seen Decodability is Not Causality: Dissociating Probe Readouts from Behavioral Drivers via SAE D
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